Centre for Human Capital and Productivity (CHCP) Working Papers
CHCP Working Papers can be downloaded from Scholarship@Western, the University's open-access repository.
Note: All Western authors are in bold.
2020-1. The Millennials' Transition from School-to-Work by Audra Bowlus and Yuet-Yee Linda Wong.
2020-2. Prices, Profits, Proxies, and Production by Victor H. Aguiar, Roy Allen, and Nail Kashaev.
2020-3. Optimal Contracting with Altruistic Agents: A Structural Model of Medicare Payments for Dialysis Drugs by Martin Gaynor, Nirav Mehta and Seth Richards-Shubik.
2020-4. Child Skill Production: Accounting for Parental and Market-Based Time and Goods Investments by Elizabeth Caucutt, Lance Lochner, Joseph Mullins, and Youngmin Park. (Online Appendix)
2020-5. Returns to Skill and the Evolution of Skills for Older Men by Qian Liu, Lance Lochner, Youngmin Park, and Youngki Shin.
2020-6. The EITC and Maternal Time Use: More Time Working and Less Time with Kids? by Jacob Bastian and Lance Lochner.
2020-7. Marriage, Children, and Labor Supply: Beliefs and Outcomes by Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner, and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2020-8. Perceived and Actual Option Values of College Enrollment by Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner, and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2018-1. On the Identification of Gross Output Production Functions by Amit Gandhi, Salvador Navarro and David Rivers.
2018-2. Parental Support, Savings and Student Loan Repayment by Lance Lochner, Todd Stinebrickner and Utku Suleymanoglu. (Online Appendix)
2018-3. Job Tasks and the Gender Wage Gap among College Graduates by Todd Stinebrickner, Ralph Stinebrickner and Paul Sullivan.
2018-4. Time-Use and Academic Peer Effects in College by Nirav Mehta, Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner.
2018-5. Uncertainty about Future Income: Initial Beliefs and Resolution During College by Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2018-6. Dynamics of Deterrence: A Macroeconomic Perspective on Punitive Justice Policy by Bulent Guler and Amanda Michaud.
2018-7. The Disability Option: Labor Market Dynamics with Macroeconomic and Health Risks by Amanda Michaud and David Wiczer.
2017-1. Targeting the Wrong Teachers? Linking Measurement with Theory to Evaluate Teacher Incentive Schemes by Nirav Mehta.
2017-2. Modeling Enrollment in and Completion of Vocational Education: The Role of Cognitive and Non-cognitive Skills by Program Type by Leslie S. Stratton, Nabanita Datta Gupta, David Reimer and Anders Holm.
2017-4. Careers and Mismatch for College Graduates: College and Non-college Jobs by Andrew Agopsowicz, Chris Robinson, Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner.
2017-5. Beauty, Job Tasks, and Wages: A New Conclusion About Employer Taste-Based Discrimination by Todd Stinebrickner, Ralph Stinebrickner and Paul Sullivan.
2017-6. Job Tasks, Time Allocation, and Wages by Ralph Stinebrickner, Todd Stinebrickner and Paul Sullivan.
2017-7. Social Interactions, Mechanisms, and Equilibrium: Evidence from a Model of Study Time and Academic Achievement by Tim Conley, Nirav Mehta, Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner. (Updated October 10, 2017)
2017-8. The Potential Output Gains from Using Optimal Teacher Incentives: An Illustrative Calibration of a Hidden Action Model by Nirav Mehta.
2017-9. Wages and Employment: The Canonical Model Revisited by Audra J. Bowlus, Eda Bozkurt and Lance Lochner.
2017-10. The Evolution of the Human Capital of Women by Audra J. Bowlus and Chris Robinson.
2017-11. Different Paths? Human Capital Prices, Wages and Inequality in Canada and the US by Audra J. Bowlus and Chris Robinson.
|Working Papers 2017-12. to 2017-24. — Chapters from: Changing Trends in China's Inequality: Evidence, Analysis, and Prospects, by Shi Li, Hiroshi Sato, Terry Sicular and Ximing Yue eds., revised August, 2017.|
2017-12. Changing Trends in China’s Inequality: Key Issues and Main Findings by Terry Sicular, Shi Li, Ximing Yue and Hiroshi Sato.
2017-13. Overview: Incomes and Inequality in China, 2007-2013 by Chuliang Luo, Terry Sicular and Shi Li.
2017-14. China's Emerging Global Middle Class by Björn Gustafsson, Terry Sicular and Xiuna Yang.
2017-15. The Increasing Inequality of Wealth in China, 2002-2013 by John Knight, Shi Li and Haiyuan Wan.
2017-16. Public Policy and Long-Term Trends in Inequality in Rural China, 1988-2013 by Hisatoshi Hoken and Hiroshi Sato.
2017-17. New Patterns in China's Rural Poverty by Shi Li, Peng Zhan and Yangyang Shen.
2017-18. Unequal Growth: How Household Incomes and Poverty in Urban China Have Developed since 1988, with an Emphasis on the Period from 2007 to 2013 by Björn Gustafsson and Sai Ding.
2017-19. Consumption Inequality in Urban China, 1995-2013 by Qingjie Xia, Shi Li, and Lina Song.
2017-20. Income and Poverty Gaps between Han and Ethnic Minorities in Rural China, 2002 and 2013 by Xiaomin Liu and Lidan Lu.
2017-21. The Redistributive Role of Government Social Security Transfers on Inequality in China by Meng Cai and Ximing Yue.
2017-22. Social Policy Reforms and Economic Distances in China, 2002-2013 by Qin Gao, Sui Yang, Fuhua Zhai and Yake Wang.
2017-23. China's Urban Gender Wage Gap: A New Direction? by Jin Song, Terry Sicular and Björn Gustafsson.
2017-24. The Effects of Minimum Wage on Wage Distribution in Urban China: Evidence from the CHIP Data by Xinxin Ma and Shi Li.
2017-25. Measuring Quality for Use in Incentive Schemes: The Case of "Shrinkage" Estimators by Nirav Mehta.
2017-26. Wage Dynamics and Returns to Unobserved Skill by Lance Lochner, Youngmin Park and Youngki Shin.
2017-27. How Heterogeneous is Productivity? A Comparison of Gross Output and Value Added by Amit Gandhi, Salvador Navarro and David Rivers.
2016-1. Ageing and the Skill Portfolio: Evidence from Job Based Skill Measures by Audra J. Bowlus, Hiroaki Mori and Chris Robinson.
2016-2. Occupational Choice, Human Capital, and Financial Constraints by Rui Castro and Pavel Ševčík.
2016-3. The Effect of Education and School Quality on Female Crime by Javier Cano-Urbina and Lance Lochner.
2016-4. Demand and Supply Effects and Returns to College Education - Evidence from a Natural Experiment with Engineers in Denmark by Hans-Peter Y. Qvist, Anders Holm and Martin D. Munk.
2015-1. Separating State Dependence, Experience, and Heterogeneity in a Model of Youth Crime and Education by Maria Antonella Mancino, Salvador Navarro and David A. Rivers.
2015-2. The Returns to Schooling in Rural China: Evidence from the Cultural Revolution Education Expansion by Terry Sicular and Juan Yang.
2015-3. Correlation, Consumption, Confusion, or Constraints: Why Do Poor Children Perform So Poorly? by Elizabeth M. Caucutt, Lance Lochner and Youngmin Park.
2015-4. Social Interactions, Mechanisms, and Equilibrium: Evidence from a Model of Study Time and Academic Achievement by Tim Conley, Nirav Mehta, Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner.
2015-5. Explaining the Evolution of Educational Attainment in the U.S. by Rui Castro and Daniele Coen-Pirani.
2015-6. An Economic Approach to Generalizing Findings from Regression-Discontinuity Designs by Nirav Mehta. (Updated May 21, 2016; March 29, 2017; December 7, 2017)
2014-1. Default and Repayment Among Baccalaureate Degree Earners by Lance J. Lochner and Alexander Monge-Naranjo.
2014-2. Understanding Earnings Dynamics: Identifying and Estimating the Changing Roles of Unobserved Ability, Permanent and Transitory Shocks by Lance Lochner and Youngki Shin. (Online Appendix)
2014-3. Targeting the Wrong Teachers: Estimating Teacher Quality for Use in Accountability Regimes by Nirav Mehta.
2014-4. Model Uncertainty and the Effect of Shall-Issue Right-to-Carry Laws on Crime by Steven N. Durlauf, Salvador Navarro and David A. Rivers.
2014-5. Student Loans and Repayment: Theory, Evidence and Policy by Lance Lochner and Alexander Monge-Naranjo.
2013-1. The Changing Determinants of High School Attainment in Rural China by Juan Yang, Terry Sicular and Desheng Lai.
2013-2. Are Exporters More Productive than Non-Exporters? by David A. Rivers.
2013-3. Analysis of the CSLP Student Loan Defaulter Survey and Client Satisfaction Surveys by Lance Lochner, Todd Stinebrickner and Utku Suleymanoglu.
2013-4. A Major in Science? Initial Beliefs and Final Outcomes for College Major and Dropout by Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner.
2013-5. Academic Performance and College Dropout: Using Longitudinal Expectations Data to Estimate a Learning Model by Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner.
2013-6. Immigrant Job Search Assimilation in Canada by Audra J. Bowlus, Masashi Miyairi and Chris Robinson.
2013-7. The Importance of Financial Resources for Student Loan Repayment by Lance Lochner, Todd Stinebrickner and Utku Suleymanoglu.
2012-1. Credit Constraints in Education by Lance Lochner and Alexander Monge-Naranjo.
2012-2. The Contributions of Search and Human Capital to Earnings Growth Over the Life Cycle by Audra J. Bowlus and Huju Liu.
2012-3. Competition in Public School Districts: Charter School Entry, Student Sorting, and School Input Determination by Nirav Mehta.
2012-4. Heterogeneity and Long-Run Changes in U.S. Hours and the Labor Wedge by Simona E. Cociuba and Alexander Ueberfeldt.
2012-5. Early and Late Human Capital Investments, Borrowing Constraints, and the Family by Elizabeth M. Caucutt and Lance Lochner.
2011-1. Math or Science? Using Longitudinal Expectations Data to Examine the Process of Choosing a College Major by Todd Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2011-2. Estimating and Testing Non-Linear Models Using Instrumental Variables by Lance Lochner and Enrico Moretti.
2011-3. The Impact of Family Income on Child Achievement: Evidence from the Earned Income Tax Credit by Gordon B. Dahl and Lance Lochner. (Online Appendix)
2011-4. Effective Tax and Subsidy Rates on Human Capital in Canada by John B. Burbidge, Kirk A. Collins, James B. Davies and Lonnie Magee.
2011-5. Occupational Mobility, Occupation Distance and Specific Human Capital by Chris Robinson.
2011-6. An International Comparison of Lifetime Inequality: How Continental Europe Resembles North America by Audra J. Bowlus and Jean-Marc Robin.
2011-7. How the Timing of Grade Retention Affects Outcomes: Identification and Estimation of Time-Varying Treatment Effects by Jane Cooley Fruehwirth, Salvador Navarro and Yuya Takahashi.
2011-8. Using Observed Choices to Infer Agent's Information: Reconsidering the Importance of Borrowing Constraints, Uncertainty and Preferences in College Attendance by Salvador Navarro.
2011-9. On the Identification of Production Functions: How Heterogeneous is Productivity? by Amit Gandhi, Salvador Navarro and David Rivers.
|Working Papers 2011-10. to 2011-21. — Chapters from: Rising Inequality in China: Challenge to a Harmonious Society, by Shi Li, Hiroshi Sato and Terry Sicular, eds., revised August, 2012, forthcoming 2013 from Cambridge University Press.|
2011-10. Overview: Income Inequality and Poverty in China, 2002-2007 by Shi Li, Chuliang Luo and Terry Sicular.
2011-11. Changes in Consumption Inequality in China by Jing Liu and Shi Li. (Note: This paper has been removed from the forthcoming book.)
2011-12. Housing Ownership, Incomes, and Inequality in China, 2002-2007 by Hiroshi Sato, Terry Sicular and Ximing Yue.
2011-13. Educational Inequality in China: The Intergenerational Dimension by John Knight, Terry Sicular and Ximing Yue.
2011-14. Inequality and Poverty in Rural China by Chuliang Luo and Terry Sicular.
2011-15. The Evolution of the Migrant Labor Market in China, 2002-2007 by John Knight, Quheng Deng and Shi Li.
2011-16. A New Episode of Increased Urban Income Inequality in China by Quheng Deng and Björn Gustafsson.
2011-17. Unemployment and the Rising Number of Non-Workers in Urban China: Causes and Distributional Consequences by Björn Gustafsson and Sai Ding.
2011-18. Do Employees in the Public Sector Still Enjoy Earnings Advantages? by Juan Yang, Sylvie Démurger and Shi Li.
2011-19. Redistributive Impacts of Personal Income Tax in Urban China by Jing Xu and Ximing Yue.
2011-20. Changes in the Gender Wage Gap in Urban China, 1995-2007 by Shi Li and Jin Song.
2011-21. Inter-temporal Changes in Ethnic Urban Earnings Disparities in China by Sai Ding, Shi Li and Samuel L. Myers, Jr.
Appendix I: The 2007 Household Surveys: Sampling Methods and Data Description by Chuliang Luo, Shi Li, Terry Sicular, Quheng Deng and Ximing Yue.
Appendix II: The 2002 and 2007 CHIP Surveys: Sampling, Weights, and Combining the Urban, Rural, and Migrant Samples by Jin Song, Terry Sicular and Ximing Yue.
2010-1. The Nature of Credit Constraints and Human Capital by Lance J. Lochner and Alexander Monge-Naranjo. (Online Appendix)
2010-2. Education Policy and Crime by Lance Lochner.
2010-3. Post-Secondary Attendance by Parental Income: Comparing the U.S. and Canada by Philippe Belley, Marc Frenette and Lance Lochner. (Online Appendix)
2010-4. Human Capital Prices, Productivity and Growth by Audra J. Bowlus and Chris Robinson.
2010-5. The Impact of Family Income on Child Achievement: Evidence from the Earned Income Tax Credit by Gordon B. Dahl and Lance Lochner.
2010-6. Interracial Friendships in College by Braz Camargo, Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner.
2010-7. Non-Production Benefits of Education: Crime, Health, and Good Citizenship by Lance Lochner.
2008-1. The Changing Role of Family Income and Ability in Determining Educational Achievement by Philippe Belley and Lance Lochner.
2008-2. Earnings Functions and Rates of Return by James J. Heckman, Lance J. Lochner and Petra E. Todd.
2008-3. Human Capital Specificity: Evidence from the Dictionary of Occupational Titles and Displaced Worker Surveys 1984-2000 by Maxim Poletaev and Chris Robinson.
2008-4. Evidence About the Potential Role for Affirmative Action in Higher Education by Braz Camargo, Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd Stinebrickner.
2008-5. Human Capital Prices, Productivity and Growth by Audra J. Bowlus and Chris Robinson. (See updated version CIBC Working Paper 2010-4.)
2008-6. Learning About Academic Ability and the College Drop-out Decision by Todd Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2007-1. The Effect of Credit Constraints On The College Drop-Out Decision: A Direct Approach Using a New Panel Study by Todd Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2007-2. The Causal Effect of Studying on Academic Performance by Todd R. Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2006-1. Global Labour Markets, Return and Onward Migration by Abdurrahman Aydemir and Chris Robinson.
2005-1. The Contribution of Post-Secondary Education to Human Capital Stocks in Canada and the United States by Audra J. Bowlus and Chris Robinson.
2005-2. Human Capital, Productivity and Growth by Audra Bowlus, Haoming Liu and Chris Robinson.
2005-3. Race, Poverty, and Teacher Mobility by Benjamin Scafidi, David L. Sjoquist and Todd R. Stinebrickner.
2005-4. What Can Be Learned About Peer Effects Using College Roommates? Evidence from New Survey Data and Students From Disadvantaged Backgrounds by Todd R. Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2005-5. Do Teachers Really Leave for Higher Paying Jobs in Alternative Occupations? by Benjamin Scafidi, David L. Sjoquist and Todd R. Stinebrickner.
2004-1. Technological Change in the Production of Human Capital: Implications for Human Capital Stocks, Wages and Skill Differentials by Audra J. Bowlus and Chris Robinson.
2004-2. Human Capital Specificity: Direct and Indirect Evidence from Canadian and US Panels and Displaced Worker Surveys by Maxim Poletaev and Chris Robinson.
2003-1. What is the Value Added by Caseworkers? by Michael Lechner and Jeffrey Smith.
2003-2. Equilibrium Policy Experiments and the Evaluation of Social Programs by Jeremy Lise, Shannon Seitz and Jeffrey Smith.
2003-3. How Robust is the Evidence on the Effects of College Quality? Evidence from Matching by Dan A. Black and Jeffrey Smith.
2003-4. The Determinants of Participation in a Social Program: Evidence from a Prototypical Job Training Program by James J. Heckman and Jeffrey Smith.
2003-5. Does Matching Overcome Lalonde's Critique of Nonexperimental Estimators? by Jeffrey Smith and Petra Todd.
2003-6. Human Capital and Skill Specificity by Maxim Poletaev and Chris Robinson.
2003-7. The Long-term Effects of Graduating from High School During a Recession: Bad Luck or Forced Opportunity? by Audra J. Bowlus and Haoming Liu.
2001-1. Working During School and Academic Performance by Todd Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2001-2. Time Use and College Outcomes by Todd Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2001-3. Peer Effects Among Students from Disadvantaged Backgrounds by Todd Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2001-4. Understanding Educational Outcomes of Students from Low Income Families: Evidence from a Liberal Arts College with a Full Tuition Subsidy Program by Todd Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner.
2001-5. Displaced Workers, Early Leavers, and Re-employment Wages by Audra Bowlus and Lars Vilhuber.